by MullOverThis

As an ardent Nobamaite, I’m still appalled to see the last minute efforts to convince the public that although Obama is ahead in the polls, he still probably really isn’t “ahead”.  Chris Rock joked about the historic pattern of White people changing the rules midstream:  Obama can have the most votes, but if necessary, the rules will change to make the outcome of the election exactly what White people want.  Of course, while he was making a sweeping generalization about White people while joking (which is generally unacceptable), he was also making a statement.  And, so are the major media outlets that are now giving more airtime to discuss the Bradley effect and race in the race (Presidential 2008) than to concrete facts relevant to the race, such as Sarah Palin’s ethical violation in firing a key official (she was found to have been partly motivated)who failed to fire her former brother-in-law.  Obama has been Black since he was born, yet, now is the time for focusing on his racial identity.  If CNN and now ABC news must give so much time to the effect of Obama’s Blackness, then prayerfully these discussions will encourage White people who would vote for Obama but for his Blackness,  to vote according to their true judgment and conviction.

Here is a Wikipedia definition of the Bradley effect:

“The Bradley effect, less commonly called the Wilder effect,[1] is a proposed explanation for a discrepancy between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in American political campaigns when a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other.[2][3][4] Named for Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor’s race despite being ahead in some voter polls, the Bradley effect refers to an alleged tendency on the part of some voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a black candidate, and yet, on election day, vote for his/her white opponent.The theory of the Bradley effect is that the inaccurate polls have been skewed by the phenomenon of social desirability bias.[5][6] Specifically, some white voters give inaccurate polling responses for fear that, by stating their true preference, they will open themselves to criticism of racial motivation. The reluctance to give accurate polling answers has sometimes extended to post-election exit polls as well. The race of the pollster conducting the interview may factor in to voters’ answers.”

Undoubtedly, there is validity to the concept of the Bradley effect.  With accusations of voter fraud in ACORN registrations, online misinformation targeted to Democrats, and so on, uncertain, undecided and borderline voters may just put their hands in the air and declare, “I give”, or decide not to vote, because voters will not trust the voting process and believe that their vote counts. 

Mulloverthis:  Your vote won’t count if you don’t vote.  Rush Limbaugh allegedly incited his listeners through “Operation Chaos” to register as Democrats and participate in the primary process, and to vote for Hilary, for the express purpose of making the Democratic Presidential race more competitive, and elongate the final selection of a Democratic Presidential nominee.  The effect of Operation Chaos cannot be pin-pointed or concretely identifiable, just like the Bradley effect.  These things have and will occur.  Giving time to clarify voter fraud schemes and tactics would be more beneficial, but of course, won’t rake in the ratings as much.




  1. Is it possible, that Obama’s lead could evaporate on election day because of Bradley-Wilder effect? Or nowadays Americans are significantly less reluctant to vote for an African-American? Vote here –

  2. I would not be surprised if there were an upset. The idea of the world’s leading military and economic power (so the rumor goes) being led by a brown face is something the world has not seen probably since the Ottoman Empire. And I don’t even think they were that dark.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: